VAR.P Function in Excel

Calculate population variance in Excel with VAR.P. Learn syntax, examples, and when to use population vs sample variance for complete statistical analysis.

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=VAR.P(number1, [number2], ...)
What is VAR.P?
Understanding Population vs Sample Variance

Appropriate VAR.P Examples

Complete Class Performance Analysis

Calculate variance for all 25 students in a specific class

Result: 142.56 points²

Historical Sales Period (Closed)

Analyze variance of all daily sales in completed quarter

Result: 8,450,000 dollars²

Department Headcount Variance

Calculate salary variance for all 12 employees in department

Result: 95,625,000 dollars²

When VAR.P is WRONG (Use VAR.S Instead)

⚠️ WRONG: Sample Survey Results

Don't use VAR.P for survey samples

Result: Incorrect variance estimate

⚠️ WRONG: Ongoing Production Data

Don't use VAR.P for continuing processes

Result: Underestimated variance

Common Errors

#DIV/0!

Division by zero

Cause:

Fewer than 2 numerical values in the dataset. VAR.P requires at least 2 values to calculate variance.

Solution:

Verify range contains at least 2 numeric values. Check for empty cells, text entries, or errors. Use COUNT to verify: =IF(COUNT(A1:A10)>=2, VAR.P(A1:A10), "Need at least 2 values")

Prevention:

Add data validation: =IF(COUNT(B2:B100)>=2, VAR.P(B2:B100), "Insufficient data")

Example:

#VALUE!

Invalid value type

Cause:

Range contains error values (#N/A, #REF!, etc.) that cannot be processed.

Solution:

Clean data by removing errors. Use IFERROR on source data: =VAR.P(IFERROR(A1:A10,"")). This converts errors to blanks which are ignored.

Prevention:

Wrap source calculations: =VAR.P(IFERROR(A1:A10,""))

Example:

Conceptual Error

Using VAR.P when VAR.S is correct

Cause:

Most common statistical error: using population variance for sample data. This underestimates true variance and leads to incorrect conclusions, especially in hypothesis testing and confidence intervals.

Solution:

Ask yourself: "Do I have data for EVERY member of the population I care about, with no intent to generalize?" If answer is anything but a definitive YES, use VAR.S instead. When in doubt, VAR.S is the safer choice.

Prevention:

Default to VAR.S unless you're absolutely certain you have complete population data. Document your reasoning for choosing VAR.P.

Example:

Best Practices

The 90% Rule: Default to VAR.S

In practical business and research applications, VAR.S is the correct choice about 90% of the time. Only use VAR.P when you can definitively state you have every single member of your complete, finite population. When in doubt, use VAR.S - it's the statistically conservative and safer choice.

Document Your Choice

When using VAR.P, document why you chose population variance. Write a note explaining that you have complete population data and aren't making inferences. This helps reviewers understand your statistical reasoning and prevents future confusion. Example note: "Using VAR.P because this is all 25 students in Mr. Smith's 3rd period class, analyzing only this specific class."

Convert to Standard Deviation for Interpretation

Like VAR.S, VAR.P returns results in squared units. For easier interpretation, convert to standard deviation: =SQRT(VAR.P(data)) or use STDEV.P(data) directly. Standard deviation is in original units and much more intuitive to understand and communicate.

The Difference is Small but Critical

For the same data, VAR.P always gives a slightly smaller value than VAR.S. With large datasets (n>100), the difference is minimal, but the conceptual error of using the wrong function affects statistical inference, hypothesis testing, and confidence intervals regardless of sample size.

Peer Review for VAR.P Usage

Before publishing analysis using VAR.P, have a colleague review your choice. It's easy to mistakenly think you have population data when you actually have a sample. A fresh perspective can catch this common error. Ask them: "Do we really have every single member of the population?"

VAR.P vs Related Functions

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Example Excel formula:

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